| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Duquesne | 34-0 | 1536.1 | -27.2 | 1508.9 | 98.0% |
| 2 | Sep 13 2026 | L | North Dakota State | 32-38 | 1508.9 | -7.4 | 1501.4 | 36.4% |
| 4 | Sep 27 2026 | W | Nevada | 36-33 | 1504.6 | +15.8 | 1520.5 | 60.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Navy | 14-9 | 1520.5 | +9.6 | 1530.1 | 42.6% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Northern Illinois | 28-7 | 1530.1 | +16.6 | 1546.6 | 74.2% |